Sport Picks
American Samoa W vs New Caledonia W
Australia & Oceania
Pacific Games Women 
AI Match Summary
American Samoa W play New Caledonia W in the Pacific Games Women. New Caledonia W are favorites here. Recently, American Samoa W averaged 0.65 goals scored and 4.71 conceded. New Caledonia W averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. In past meetings, American Samoa W won 0, New Caledonia W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 20, 2023 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for American Samoa W and 2.06 for New Caledonia W. This points to a New Caledonia W double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- American Samoa W picked up more points recently compared to New Caledonia W.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | American Samoa W | New Caledonia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.71 | 2.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
American Samoa W scored in 35% of their last 17 games.
New Caledonia W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 6.50 goals.
American Samoa W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
New Caledonia W lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 7 |
| 2 | New Caledonia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Cook Islands W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | American Samoa W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:16 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samoa W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Tahiti W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 3 | Tonga W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Solomon Islands W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vanuatu W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |