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American Samoa W vs Tonga W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tonga W in this Pacific Games Women 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-12 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
American Samoa W
15%
Draws
42%
Tonga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: American Samoa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • American Samoa W haven't matched Tonga W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans American Samoa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
American Samoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Tonga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa W Tonga W
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 4.71 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 World Cup Women
Tonga W vs American Samoa W
0:3
Jul 15, 2019 Pacific Games Women
American Samoa W vs Tonga W
0:12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa W 83 / 100
Tonga W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa W Tonga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick American Samoa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Tonga W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: American Samoa W scored in 35% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa W VS Tonga W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa W

(Home)
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
American Samoa W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0
Samoa W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1
American Samoa W
21 Feb
Fiji W
2 : 1
American Samoa W
Page 1 of 4

Tonga W

(Away)
02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1
Tahiti W
28 Nov
Tonga W
0 : 3
American Samoa W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0
Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samoa W 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Fiji W 4 3 0 1 18:2 9
3 Tonga W 4 2 0 2 16:10 6
4 New Caledonia W 4 1 0 3 13:10 3
5 American Samoa W 4 0 1 3 0:32 1
Promotion - Pacific Games Women 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 4 4 0 0 20:4 12
2 Cook Islands W 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
3 Tahiti W 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Solomon Islands W 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Vanuatu W 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
Promotion - Pacific Games Women 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women 2019 (Play Offs)