Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amiens SC vs Red Star

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade de la Licorne, Amiens
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ikanga J.
Assist: Cabral K.
31'
Sub
Lemonnier P. In: Escartin J.
Out: Lemonnier P.
50' Event
Ntamack S.
Assist: Leautey A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Amiens SC and Red Star finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Amiens SC
30%
Draws
33%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amiens SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Red Star carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Amiens SC taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 20%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amiens SC Red Star
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Amiens SC vs Red Star
3:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Red Star
1:3
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Amiens SC
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Amiens SC vs Red Star
0:2
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Amiens SC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amiens SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntamack S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Red Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikanga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ba P. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amiens SC 85 / 100
Red Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amiens SC Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Amiens SC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Amiens SC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Red Star let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amiens SC VS Red Star
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amiens SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

Red Star

(Away)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0
Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4
Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1
Red Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)