Sport Picks
Ammanford Town vs Baglan Dragons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
John D.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Ammanford Town and Baglan Dragons finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ammanford Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baglan Dragons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ammanford Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Baglan Dragons a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ammanford Town have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ammanford Town | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Baglan Dragons
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford Town
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Baglan Dragons
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford Town
0:2
Feb 17, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford Town
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ammanford Town Compare
Top Goalscorer John D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Baglan Dragons Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Baglan Dragons 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ammanford Town Baglan Dragons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ammanford Town scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Baglan Dragons has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Baglan Dragons registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ammanford Town VS Baglan Dragons
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ammanford Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 3
Baglan Dragons
(Away) 02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2 Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2 Baglan Dragons
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
