Sport Picks
Ammanford Town vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford 
Match Events
19'
19'
Marriott Ch.
22'
22'
Mooney P.
28'
28'
Sub
Davies C. L. In: Owen L.
Out: Davies C. L.
AI Match Summary
Caernarfon in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caernarfon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caernarfon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ammanford Town haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
- Model gives Caernarfon a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ammanford Town | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 3.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Caernarfon
0:5
Jan 24, 2020 FAW Welsh Cup
Ammanford Town vs Caernarfon
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ammanford Town Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Caernarfon Compare
Top Goalscorer Mooney P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bradley S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Caernarfon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ammanford Town Caernarfon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Ammanford Town's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Caernarfon has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Ammanford Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ammanford Town VS Caernarfon
0.5 Goals Scored 3.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ammanford Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 3
Caernarfon
(Away) 03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
