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Amora U19 vs Tondela U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 4, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amora U19 host Tondela U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tondela U19 have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Amora U19 have conceded 1.93 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Amora U19 have won 0 to Tondela U19's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 0.80) back Tondela U19 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Amora U19
20%
Draws
23%
Tondela U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amora U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amora U19 come out ahead of Tondela U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Amora U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora U19 Tondela U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Amora U19
0:0
Apr 4, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Amora U19 vs Tondela U19
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Amora U19 vs Tondela U19
1:2
Nov 2, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Amora U19
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora U19 31 / 100
Tondela U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora U19 Tondela U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amora U19 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Tondela U19 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Amora U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Tondela U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tondela U19
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora U19

(Home)
21 May
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Amora U19
14 May
Amora U19
2 : 2
Vilafranquense U19
07 May
Belenenses U19
0 : 1
Amora U19
30 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 2
Sacavenense U19
23 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal U19
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Tondela U19

(Away)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
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