Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amora vs 1º Dezembro

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Medideira Stadium, Amora
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sapara A.
24'
Abreu M.
35'
Azevedo D.

AI Match Summary

1º Dezembro in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored 1º Dezembro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Amora
30%
Draws
29%
1º Dezembro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amora lately — more wins on the board than 1º Dezembro.
  • Model gives Amora a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora 1º Dezembro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
1º Dezembro vs Amora
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Amora
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs 1º Dezembro
0:4
Dec 6, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs 1º Dezembro
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Amora
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

1º Dezembro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abreu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora 77 / 100
1º Dezembro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora 1º Dezembro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º Dezembro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Amora's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Amora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amora VS 1º Dezembro
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora

(Home)
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
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1º Dezembro

(Away)
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
02 May
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
Caldas SC
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