Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amora vs Caldas SC

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Medideira Stadium, Amora
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Palmerio M.
46'
Sub
Vieira J. In: Chaves G.
Out: Vieira J.
46'
Sub
Palmerio M. In: da Costa Januario N. J.
Out: Palmerio M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Amora and Caldas SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caldas SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Amora
30%
Draws
41%
Caldas SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caldas SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Caldas SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Amora taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora Caldas SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Amora
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga 3
Caldas SC vs Amora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Liga 3
Amora vs Caldas SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Caldas SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaves G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora 50 / 100
Caldas SC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora Caldas SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Caldas SC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Amora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amora VS Caldas SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora

(Home)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
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Caldas SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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