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Amora vs Lagoa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Medideira Stadium, Amora
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amora host Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lagoa have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Amora have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.16. Head-to-head, Amora have won 1 to Lagoa's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.13) back Lagoa to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Amora
30%
Draws
29%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Amora haven't matched Lagoa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Amora's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Amora Clean Sheet 20%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora Lagoa
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Amora vs Lagoa
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Amora
1:1
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Lagoa vs Amora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora 58 / 100
Lagoa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amora scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Lagoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Amora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amora VS Lagoa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora

(Home)
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
Page 1 of 7

Lagoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)