Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amora vs Lusitano GC

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Medideira Stadium, Amora
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Lopes D.
28'
Cande B.
45' Event
Aguas M.
Assist: Almara F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Amora and Lusitano GC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano GC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Amora
30%
Draws
29%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lusitano GC come out ahead of Amora on wins alone.
  • Model gives Amora a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lusitano GC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora Lusitano GC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Lusitano GC
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Amora
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs Lusitano GC
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Amora
3:1
May 24, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Amora vs Lusitano GC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Barros G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lusitano GC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tipote L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora 50 / 100
Lusitano GC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amora scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Lusitano GC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Amora has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amora VS Lusitano GC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora

(Home)
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
19 Apr
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Amora
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Lusitano GC

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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