Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amora vs Real SC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Medideira Stadium, Amora
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Fernandes A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between Amora and Real SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Amora
30%
Draws
41%
Real SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Amora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amora are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Amora Clean Sheet 68%
Real SC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora Real SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Amora vs Real SC
0:1
Jan 14, 2023 Liga 3
Real SC vs Amora
0:1
Sep 4, 2022 Liga 3
Amora vs Real SC
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 Liga 3
Real SC vs Amora
1:2
Nov 28, 2021 Liga 3
Amora vs Real SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Real SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora 77 / 100
Real SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora Real SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real SC conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Amora scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Amora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amora VS Real SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora

(Home)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
Page 1 of 6

Real SC

(Away)
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
30 Aug
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Real SC
07 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Real SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Serpa 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Juv. Evora 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
6 Real SC 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
7 Amora 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 GD Alcochetense 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
11 Aljustrelense 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Lajense 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
14 Santa Clara B 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)