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Amora W vs Albergaria/Durit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Henriques A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 game between Amora W and Albergaria/Durit W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albergaria/Durit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Amora W
20%
Draws
40%
Albergaria/Durit W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Albergaria/Durit W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amora W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albergaria/Durit W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Amora W Clean Sheet 20%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amora W Albergaria/Durit W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.56
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Albergaria/Durit W
0:1
Dec 4, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Amora W
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Taça de Portugal Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Amora W
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amora W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Henriques A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amora W 85 / 100
Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amora W Albergaria/Durit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albergaria/Durit W has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Albergaria/Durit W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Amora W scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Albergaria/Durit W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amora W

(Home)
09 Jun
Amora W
0 : 1
Vilaverdense W
26 May
Vilaverdense W
1 : 1
Amora W
21 May
Amora W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
14 May
Vilaverdense W
3 : 0
Amora W
07 May
Torreense W
2 : 1
Amora W
Page 1 of 6

Albergaria/Durit W

(Away)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 2
Torreense W
03 May
SL Benfica W
5 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
12 Apr
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 6
Sporting W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 21 0 1 99:7 63
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 67:14 54
3 Braga W 22 16 3 3 60:26 51
4 Famalicao W 22 12 4 6 48:24 40
5 Damaiense W 22 10 6 6 35:34 36
6 Vilaverdense W 22 9 1 12 34:47 25
7 Torreense W 22 6 4 12 25:47 22
8 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 6 11 21:54 21
9 Valadares Gaia W 22 5 5 12 17:38 20
10 Ouriense W 22 4 5 13 16:43 17
11 Maritimo W 22 5 2 15 29:58 17
12 Amora W 22 2 1 19 12:71 7
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)