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Amorebieta vs Arosa SC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Maceira J.
45' Event
Morales J.
69' Event
Gabri Palmas

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Amorebieta and Arosa SC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Amorebieta
35%
Draws
40%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Arosa SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arosa SC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 12%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta Arosa SC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Amorebieta vs Arosa SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Arosa SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maceira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabri Palmas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 14 / 100
Arosa SC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Amorebieta scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Arosa SC conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Amorebieta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS Arosa SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

Arosa SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Portugalete 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Sestao 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Eibar B 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Alaves B 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Gernika Club 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
8 Coruxo FC 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Basconia 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Atletico Astorga 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
11 Marino De Luanco 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
12 Real Oviedo B 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
14 Arosa SC 3 0 2 1 4:8 2
15 Amorebieta 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Rayo Cantabria 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Compostela 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
18 Llanera 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)