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Amorebieta vs Gernika Club

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Arberas X.
41' Event
Arzalluz M.
45'
San Nicolas G.

AI Match Summary

Amorebieta host Gernika Club in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Gernika Club have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Amorebieta have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Gernika Club slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward Amorebieta. Amorebieta in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Amorebieta
22%
Draws
18%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Amorebieta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gernika Club.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Amorebieta.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta Gernika Club
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:0
Mar 2, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
3:1
Oct 12, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzalluz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gernika Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrontegui H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 68 / 100
Gernika Club 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amorebieta scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Gernika Club let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Amorebieta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gernika Club lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS Gernika Club
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025