Sport Picks
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano 
Match Events
17'
17'
Arberas X.
41'
41'
Arzalluz M.
45'
45'
San Nicolas G.
AI Match Summary
Gernika Club in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gernika Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gernika Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Amorebieta lately — more wins on the board than Gernika Club.
- Win probability leans Gernika Club's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 16%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amorebieta | Gernika Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Amorebieta
1:0
Mar 2, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Gernika Club
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amorebieta Compare
Top Goalscorer Arzalluz M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Gernika Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Torrontegui H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amorebieta 11 / 100
Gernika Club 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amorebieta Gernika Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Amorebieta scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Gernika Club let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Amorebieta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Amorebieta VS Gernika Club
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Amorebieta
(Home) 26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2 Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0 Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2 Arosa SC
08 Aug
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
04 Aug
Amorebieta
1 : 5 Arenas Getxo
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 3
Gernika Club
(Away) 20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0 Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2 Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1 Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0 Gernika Club
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Gernika Club
28 Mar
Ebro
1 : 1 Gernika Club
14 Mar
Beasain
4 : 0 Gernika Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
