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Amposta vs Gava

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011 game between Amposta and Gava finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amposta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Amposta
30%
Draws
58%
Gava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Amposta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gava a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Amposta Clean Sheet 20%
Gava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amposta Gava
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 3
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Gava
2:4
Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Amposta
0:0
Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Gava
4:1
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gava vs Amposta
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amposta 12 / 100
Gava 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amposta Gava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Amposta found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Amposta stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gava
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Amposta

(Home)
12 May
Amposta
2 : 4
Gava
06 May
Santboia
5 : 1
Amposta
29 Apr
Amposta
2 : 2
Manlleu AEC
22 Apr
Espanyol B
4 : 0
Amposta
15 Apr
Amposta
1 : 4
Gramenet
Page 1 of 6

Gava

(Away)
28 Aug
Gava
0 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Gava
3 : 4
Prat
13 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
1 : 1
Gava
06 May
Gava
2 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
29 Apr
FC Vilafranca
3 : 0
Gava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Som Maresme 38 22 7 9 65:36 73
2 Montanesa 38 19 10 9 40:33 67
3 Pobla Mafumet 38 19 10 9 60:36 67
4 Reus FC Reddis 38 17 14 7 52:26 65
5 Espanyol B 38 19 7 12 65:38 64
6 Manlleu AEC 38 14 19 5 58:40 61
7 CE Europa 38 16 10 12 54:42 58
8 Cornella 38 15 10 13 58:44 55
9 Prat 38 13 14 11 49:42 53
10 Gava 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
11 FC Vilafranca 38 13 10 15 48:55 49
12 Terrassa 38 11 14 13 58:53 47
13 UE Castelldefels 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
14 Amposta 38 13 6 19 45:65 45
15 Balaguer 38 11 10 17 42:60 43
16 CD Masnou 38 10 11 17 51:60 41
17 CF Vilanova 38 8 17 13 42:51 41
18 Palamos CF 38 9 14 15 35:45 41
19 FC Asco 38 6 11 21 29:72 29
20 Premia 38 5 12 21 24:66 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)