Sport Picks

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Anadia vs Aparecida

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Peterson
24' Event
Antunes T.
68' Event
Pinto D.

AI Match Summary

Anadia in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Anadia
30%
Draws
35%
Aparecida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aparecida average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Anadia's 1.03.
  • Anadia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Anadia Clean Sheet 68%
Aparecida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anadia Aparecida
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Anadia vs Aparecida
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Aparecida vs Anadia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Peterson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunes T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Aparecida Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anadia 50 / 100
Aparecida 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anadia Aparecida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Anadia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Anadia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anadia VS Aparecida
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anadia

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 6

Aparecida

(Away)
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Leca
5 : 1
Aparecida
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Aparecida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)