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Anadia vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Costa G.
30' Event
Ruca
(Penalty)
45' Event
Simao A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Anadia
35%
Draws
37%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Florgrade have won more games recently than Anadia.
  • Model gives Anadia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Anadia Clean Sheet 68%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anadia Florgrade
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Anadia vs Florgrade
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Anadia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Simao A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anadia 46 / 100
Florgrade 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anadia Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Anadia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Florgrade let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Anadia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Anadia VS Florgrade
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anadia

(Home)
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Anadia
Page 1 of 6

Florgrade

(Away)
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
18 Apr
Florgrade
2 : 1
Rebordosa
12 Apr
Aparecida
4 : 1
Florgrade
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)