Sport Picks
Anaitasuna FT vs Leioa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
14'
14'
Azcoitia X.
Own Goal
58'
58'
Arabaolaza A.
68'
68'
Montes I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Anaitasuna FT and Leioa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Anaitasuna FT
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Anaitasuna FT haven't matched Leioa's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Anaitasuna FT taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 68%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Anaitasuna FT | Leioa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Anaitasuna FT
0:0
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs Leioa
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs Leioa
0:1
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Anaitasuna FT
1:0
Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs Leioa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Anaitasuna FT Compare
Top Goalscorer Arabaolaza A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53
Leioa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Anaitasuna FT 59 / 100
Leioa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Anaitasuna FT Leioa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Anaitasuna FT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Anaitasuna FT scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Leioa let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Anaitasuna FT has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Anaitasuna FT VS Leioa
5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Anaitasuna FT
(Home) 03 Oct
CD Tedeon
2 : 5 Anaitasuna FT
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0 CD Tedeon
11 May
Basconia
3 : 2 Anaitasuna FT
05 May
Anaitasuna FT
2 : 1 Anorga
01 May
Alaves C
3 : 1 Anaitasuna FT
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0 CD Tedeon
05 May
Anaitasuna FT
2 : 1 Anorga
27 Apr
Anaitasuna FT
0 : 2 SD Deusto
13 Apr
Anaitasuna FT
1 : 2 SCD Durango
27 Mar
Anaitasuna FT
0 : 2 CD Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
Leioa
(Away) 04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5 Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1 Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3 Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0 Leioa
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5 Leioa
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3 Leioa
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0 Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1 Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3 Leioa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
