Sport Picks
Ancona vs Maceratese
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 Stadio del Conero, Ancona 
Match Events
23'
23'
Zini A.
34'
34'
Zini A.
43'
43'
Cericola M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Ancona and Maceratese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ancona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ancona carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ancona's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ancona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ancona | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Ancona
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Maceratese
4:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Ancona
1:5
Jan 29, 2017 Serie C - Group B
Ancona vs Maceratese
0:1
Nov 22, 2016 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ancona vs Maceratese
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ancona Compare
Top Goalscorer Zini A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cericola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Maceratese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ancona 59 / 100
Maceratese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ancona Maceratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ancona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ancona scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
Maceratese let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Ancona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ancona VS Maceratese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ancona
(Home) 27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1 Ancona
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1 Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1 Montecchio Gallo
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 3
Maceratese
(Away) 27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1 Santegidiese
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2 Maceratese
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1 Maceratese
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2 Maceratese
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1 Maceratese
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0 Maceratese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
