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Andijan vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan
Andijan Logo

Andijan

2 - 1
FT
Din. Samarkand Logo

Din. Samarkand

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Jumaboev J.
34'
Kholdorkhonov P.
52' Event
Khozhimirzaev A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Andijan and Din. Samarkand finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Andijan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Andijan
20%
Draws
38%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Andijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Din. Samarkand's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Andijan have produced (1.18).
  • Model gives Din. Samarkand a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Andijan Clean Sheet 20%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andijan Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Andijan
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Super League
Andijan vs Din. Samarkand
3:0
Jun 22, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Andijan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashortia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Temirov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Khozhimirzaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andijan 28 / 100
Din. Samarkand 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andijan Din. Samarkand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andijan scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Andijan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Andijan VS Din. Samarkand
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Andijan

(Home)
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
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Din. Samarkand

(Away)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)