Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Andijan vs Termez Surkhon

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Merganov D. In: Boymurodov O.
Out: Merganov D.
41'
Abdukhamidov S.
46'
Sub
Kodirov F. In: Mirusmonov M.
Out: Kodirov F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Andijan and Termez Surkhon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termez Surkhon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Andijan
6%
Draws
4%
Termez Surkhon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Andijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Termez Surkhon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Andijan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Andijan Clean Sheet 68%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andijan Termez Surkhon
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
1:2
Oct 27, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Andijan
4:0
May 23, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Super League
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismonaliev U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Termez Surkhon Compare

Top Goalscorer Friday R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdukhamidov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andijan 95 / 100
Termez Surkhon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andijan Termez Surkhon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Andijan scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Termez Surkhon conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Andijan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Andijan VS Termez Surkhon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Andijan

(Home)
18 Jul
Andijan
1 : 2
Termez Surkhon
04 Jul
Yenisey
1 : 1
Andijan
04 May
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 3
Andijan
28 Apr
Andijan
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
24 Apr
Bunyodkor
1 : 3
Andijan
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Termez Surkhon

(Away)
18 Jul
Andijan
1 : 2
Termez Surkhon
03 May
Termez Surkhon
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Termez Surkhon
22 Apr
Termez Surkhon
2 : 1
Mashal Muborak
17 Apr
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1
Qizilqum
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1151516:1116
10Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Sogdiana1233621:2512
13Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
14Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)