Sport Picks
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sub
Merganov D. In: Boymurodov O.
Out: Merganov D.
41'
41'
Abdukhamidov S.
46'
46'
Sub
Kodirov F. In: Mirusmonov M.
Out: Kodirov F.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Andijan and Termez Surkhon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termez Surkhon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Andijan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Andijan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Andijan Clean Sheet 21%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Andijan | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
1:2
Oct 27, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Andijan
4:0
May 23, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Super League
Andijan vs Termez Surkhon
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Andijan Compare
Top Goalscorer Ismonaliev U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Termez Surkhon Compare
Top Goalscorer Friday R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abdukhamidov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Andijan 32 / 100
Termez Surkhon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Andijan Termez Surkhon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termez Surkhon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Andijan scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Termez Surkhon conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Andijan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Andijan VS Termez Surkhon
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Andijan
(Home) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2 Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2 Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
13 Aug
Andijan
0 : 3 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 3
Termez Surkhon
(Away) 20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
