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Andorra vs Malta

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Estadi Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andorra play Malta in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Andorra averaged 0.27 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Malta averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Andorra won 0, Malta won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 19, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Andorra and 1.38 for Malta. This points to a Malta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Andorra
30%
Draws
52%
Malta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Andorra picked up more points recently compared to Malta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
Andorra Clean Sheet 17%
Malta Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andorra Malta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.27 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
3:1
Oct 10, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
0:0
Mar 27, 2002 Friendly International
Malta vs Andorra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Malta Compare

Top Goalscorer Camenzuli R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andorra 20 / 100
Malta 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andorra Malta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Malta or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Andorra attacking → ← attacking Malta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andorra scored in 17% of their last 30 games.

Malta let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Andorra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Malta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 26
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Marino42115:37
2Gibraltar41304:36
3Liechtenstein40223:62
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Moldova43015:19
2Malta42112:27
3Andorra40130:41