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Andorra vs Malta

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
Andorra Logo

Andorra

0 - 1
FT
Malta Logo

Malta

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Guillen J.
35'
Sub
Guillen J. In: Teixeira J.
Out: Guillen J.
45' Event
Camenzuli R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malta in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Andorra
15%
Draws
36%
Malta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Andorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malta lately — more wins on the board than Andorra.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
Andorra Clean Sheet 17%
Malta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andorra Malta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.27 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
0:0
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Malta vs Andorra
3:1
Oct 10, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Andorra vs Malta
0:0
Mar 27, 2002 Friendly International
Malta vs Andorra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andorra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Malta Compare

Top Goalscorer Camenzuli R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andorra 31 / 100
Malta 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andorra Malta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malta let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Malta has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Andorra scored in 17% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Andorra VS Malta
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Andorra

(Home)
07 Jun
Kosovo
3 : 0
Andorra
04 Jun
Andorra
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
29 May
Iraq
1 : 0
Andorra
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
27 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 0
Andorra
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Malta

(Away)
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1
Malta
31 Mar
Luxembourg
3 : 0
Malta
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2
Luxembourg
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Marino 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
2 Gibraltar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Liechtenstein 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moldova 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
2 Malta 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Andorra 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)