Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Andratx vs Binissalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Andratx host Binissalem in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Andratx at 1 goals for, 1.71 against; Binissalem at 1 for, 0.94 against. Past meetings favor Andratx slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2023, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.76, favoring Binissalem. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Andratx
20%
Draws
30%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Andratx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Binissalem lately — more wins on the board than Andratx.
  • Andratx are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Andratx Clean Sheet 20%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andratx Binissalem
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Andratx vs Binissalem
2:1
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Andratx
1:3
Jan 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Andratx
0:3
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Andratx vs Binissalem
0:0
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Andratx vs Binissalem
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andratx 40 / 100
Binissalem 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andratx Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Andratx Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andratx scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Andratx stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Binissalem's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Andratx VS Binissalem
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Andratx

(Home)
03 Oct
Manacor
2 : 1
Andratx
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
06 Sept
Porreres
2 : 0
Andratx
Page 1 of 6

Binissalem

(Away)
03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0
Sineu
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)