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Andratx vs Porreres

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Medina G.
70' Event
Jaraiz A.
85' Event
Isnaldo E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Andratx and Porreres finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Andratx
20%
Draws
42%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porreres come out ahead of Andratx on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Andratx taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Porreres have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Andratx Clean Sheet 68%
Porreres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andratx Porreres
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.96 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Andratx
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Andratx vs Porreres
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs Andratx
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andratx Compare

Top Goalscorer Isnaldo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaraiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andratx 46 / 100
Porreres 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andratx Porreres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porreres has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Andratx has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Andratx scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Andratx VS Porreres
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Andratx

(Home)
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
06 Sept
Porreres
2 : 0
Andratx
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

Porreres

(Away)
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Porreres
2 : 0
Andratx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)