Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Angel City W vs Utah Royals W

USA USA

NWSL Women BMO Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Lacasse C.
Assist: Cronin P.
45'
Lacasse C.
45'
Maiara Niehues

AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Angel City W
22%
Draws
18%
Utah Royals W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Angel City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Utah Royals W have won more games recently than Angel City W.
  • Angel City W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Angel City W Clean Sheet 16%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angel City W Utah Royals W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Utah Royals W
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Angel City W
0:0
May 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Utah Royals W
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Utah Royals W
1:1
May 4, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Angel City W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angel City W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacasse C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angel City W 57 / 100
Utah Royals W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angel City W Utah Royals W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angel City W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Utah Royals W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Angel City W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angel City W VS Utah Royals W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1483316:827
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1344519:1816
12Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
13Houston Dash W1443717:2315
14Bay FC W1343613:1915
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267