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Angelana vs Ancona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Pecci C.
73' Event
Casagrande D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Angelana
30%
Draws
64%
Ancona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ancona have won more games recently than Angelana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Angelana Clean Sheet 21%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angelana Ancona
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 1 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 0.67 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Angelana vs Ancona
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angelana Compare

Top Goalscorer Casagrande D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ancona Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecci C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angelana 37 / 100
Ancona 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angelana Ancona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ancona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ancona let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Angelana scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Angelana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angelana VS Ancona
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angelana

(Home)
04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0
Angelana
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
Page 1 of 2

Ancona

(Away)
07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1
Fossombrone
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)