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Angers vs Le Havre

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Boufal S.
Assist: Soumare I.
28' Event
Peter P.
Assist: Raolisoa L.
34'
Ndiaye R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Angers
30%
Draws
16%
Le Havre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Angers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Angers lately — more wins on the board than Le Havre.
  • Win probability leans Angers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Angers Clean Sheet 68%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers Le Havre
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Angers
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs Le Havre
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Angers
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Le Havre vs Angers
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Angers vs Le Havre
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angers Compare

Top Goalscorer Peter P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Le Havre Compare

Top Goalscorer Boufal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 68 / 100
Le Havre 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers Le Havre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Angers's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Angers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Le Havre registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS Le Havre
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
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Le Havre

(Away)
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)