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Angers vs Lyon

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Belkhdim Y.
55'
Sub
Sulc P. In: Yaremchuk R.
Out: Sulc P.
64'
Sub
Tolisso C. In: Ghezzal R.
Out: Tolisso C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Angers
30%
Draws
37%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Angers.
  • Win probability leans Angers's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lyon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Angers Clean Sheet 16%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angers Lyon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lyon
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Angers
1:0
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Angers
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lyon
0:3
Feb 25, 2023 Ligue 1
Angers vs Lyon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angers 36 / 100
Lyon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angers Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angers found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Lyon let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Angers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angers VS Lyon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angers

(Home)
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0
Angers
06 Sept
Angers
1 : 2
Rennes
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3
Angers
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Angers
3 : 2
Paris FC
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Lyon

(Away)
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
26 Aug
Lyon
1 : 2
Fenerbahce
22 Aug
Toulouse
0 : 2
Lyon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)