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Stadium Background

Angola U17 vs Mozambique U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 11)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angola U17 play Mozambique U17 in the Africa Cup of Nations U17. It looks like a close match. Recently, Angola U17 averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Mozambique U17 averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Angola U17 won 2, Mozambique U17 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Angola U17 and 1.19 for Mozambique U17. This points to a Angola U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Angola U17
15%
Draws
32%
Mozambique U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angola U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Angola U17 picked up more points recently compared to Mozambique U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Angola U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Mozambique U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angola U17 Mozambique U17
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.58 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Angola U17 vs Mozambique U17
1:2
Aug 2, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Angola U17 vs Mozambique U17
2:0
Jul 19, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mozambique U17 vs Angola U17
2:1
Jul 9, 2012 Friendly International
Mozambique U17 vs Angola U17
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angola U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliseu Francisco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mozambique U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Figueiredo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angola U17 52 / 100
Mozambique U17 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angola U17 Mozambique U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Angola U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Angola U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Angola U17 attacking → ← attacking Mozambique U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angola U17 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Mozambique U17 let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Angola U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mozambique U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 15
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Morocco U1732105:37
2Egypt U1731113:34
3Ethiopia U1731112:24
4Tunisia U1730122:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ivory Coast U1732105:27
2Cameroon U1732012:26
3Uganda U1731115:34
4D.R. Congo U1730030:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tanzania U1732017:26
2Mali U1731203:25
3Mozambique U1731113:54
4Angola U1730121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Senegal U1732014:36
2Algeria U1731115:44
3Ghana U1731115:44
4South Africa U1731023:63