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Angola W vs Malawi W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Angola W
15%
Draws
59%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malawi W lately — more wins on the board than Angola W.
  • Model gives Malawi W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Malawi W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malawi W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Angola W Clean Sheet 16%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angola W Malawi W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:1
Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Angola W
2:0
Oct 23, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:0
Oct 4, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Malawi W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angola W 28 / 100
Malawi W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angola W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malawi W conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Angola W found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Angola W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angola W VS Malawi W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Angola W

(Home)
24 Feb
Angola W
0 : 1
Malawi W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0
Angola W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Angola W
23 Oct
Angola W
0 : 0
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -