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Angra dos Reis vs Marica

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca 2 2022
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Match Events

41' Event

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Carioca 2 2022 game between Angra dos Reis and Marica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Angra dos Reis
28%
Draws
22%
Marica
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Angra dos Reis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marica come out ahead of Angra dos Reis on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Angra dos Reis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Marica here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Angra dos Reis Clean Sheet 68%
Marica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angra dos Reis Marica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2022 Carioca 2
Angra dos Reis vs Marica
0:1
Jun 16, 2021 Carioca 2
Marica vs Angra dos Reis
2:1
Nov 11, 2020 Carioca 2
Marica vs Angra dos Reis
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angra dos Reis 59 / 100
Marica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angra dos Reis Marica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angra dos Reis scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Marica let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Angra dos Reis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marica
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olaria63129:610
2Americano62225:48
3Cabofriense61416:67
4America RJ62137:87
5Macae61145:104
6Angra dos Reis60154:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sampaio Correa FE650113:515
2Volta Redonda641117:713
3Goncalense64119:513
4Marica62227:78
5Friburguense62223:48
6Artsul60424:84