Sport Picks

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Angri vs A.C.D. Nardo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Vrdoljak M.
47' Event
Maletic M.
50' Event
Maletic M.

AI Match Summary

A.C.D. Nardo in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Angri
20%
Draws
50%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: A.C.D. Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A.C.D. Nardo lately — more wins on the board than Angri.
  • Model gives A.C.D. Nardo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • A.C.D. Nardo have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Angri Clean Sheet 20%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 17
Draws 6 13
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Angri
4:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:3
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Angri
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Tandara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Maletic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vrdoljak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 20 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C.D. Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Angri scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

A.C.D. Nardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 37 matches.

Solid form: Angri remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS A.C.D. Nardo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)