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Angri vs Fidelis Andria

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Babaj D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 game between Angri and Fidelis Andria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Angri
15%
Draws
21%
Fidelis Andria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Angri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Angri haven't matched Fidelis Andria's recent run of results.
  • Fidelis Andria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fidelis Andria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Angri Clean Sheet 21%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Fidelis Andria
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Fidelis Andria
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Angri
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Fidelis Andria
0:1
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Angri
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Babaj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 29 / 100
Fidelis Andria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Fidelis Andria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fidelis Andria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fidelis Andria conceded in 61% of 38 recent games.

Fidelis Andria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Angri's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fidelis Andria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 6

Fidelis Andria

(Away)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)