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Angri vs Gallipoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Longo F.
49' Event
Hernandez D.
64' Event
Ascione S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Angri and Gallipoli finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gallipoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Angri
20%
Draws
32%
Gallipoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Angri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gallipoli come out ahead of Angri on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Gallipoli taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Angri Clean Sheet 13%
Gallipoli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Gallipoli
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Gallipoli
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gallipoli vs Angri
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Gallipoli
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ascione S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gallipoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thiam S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 27 / 100
Gallipoli 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Gallipoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gallipoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gallipoli has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Angri scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Gallipoli registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angri VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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Gallipoli

(Away)
12 May
Angri
2 : 0
Gallipoli
05 May
Martina Calcio
1 : 1
Gallipoli
28 Apr
Gallipoli
1 : 1
Angri
21 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Gallipoli
14 Apr
Gallipoli
0 : 3
Gravina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)