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Angri vs Matera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sicurella G.
88' Event
Di Piazza M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Matera in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Angri
6%
Draws
90%
Matera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matera lately — more wins on the board than Angri.
  • Matera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Matera have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Angri Clean Sheet 13%
Matera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angri Matera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Angri
3:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Matera
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Matera
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Angri
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Sicurella G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angri 10 / 100
Matera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angri Matera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Angri scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Angri remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Angri VS Matera
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Angri

(Home)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 6

Matera

(Away)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)