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Anguiano vs Alfaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Fernandez Sainz A.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Cantero N.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Pascual S.

AI Match Summary

Alfaro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Anguiano
30%
Draws
47%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Anguiano have won more games recently than Alfaro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 20%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguiano Alfaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Alfaro
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Anguiano vs Alfaro
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs Anguiano
1:2
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs Anguiano
3:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Alfaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguiano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascual S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguiano 36 / 100
Alfaro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguiano Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Anguiano scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Alfaro conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Anguiano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Anguiano VS Alfaro
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguiano

(Home)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

Alfaro

(Away)
04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)