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Anguilla vs Saint Kitts and Nevis

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rogers K.
10' Event
Burnham C.
36' Event
Rogers K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Anguilla and Saint Kitts and Nevis finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Anguilla
15%
Draws
64%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Kitts and Nevis come out ahead of Anguilla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Saint Kitts and Nevis a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Saint Kitts and Nevis have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Anguilla Saint Kitts and Nevis
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Friendly International
Anguilla vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:4
Oct 11, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Anguilla
2:0
Sep 22, 2006 Caribbean Cup
Anguilla vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Anguilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Millington N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brooks K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogers K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Burnham C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Anguilla 10 / 100
Saint Kitts and Nevis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Anguilla Saint Kitts and Nevis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Kitts and Nevis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Saint Kitts and Nevis conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Anguilla found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Anguilla remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Anguilla VS Saint Kitts and Nevis
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Anguilla

(Home)
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
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Saint Kitts and Nevis

(Away)
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Indonesia
4 : 0
Saint Kitts and Nevis
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6
Belize
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