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Angust Nazran vs FK Pobeda

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Zaynanov K.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Angust Nazran and FK Pobeda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Angust Nazran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Angust Nazran
15%
Draws
68%
FK Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • FK Pobeda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK Pobeda a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Angust Nazran Clean Sheet 18%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angust Nazran FK Pobeda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FK Pobeda
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Angust Nazran
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FK Pobeda
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Angust Nazran
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FK Pobeda
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angust Nazran Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaynanov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FK Pobeda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angust Nazran 12 / 100
FK Pobeda 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angust Nazran FK Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Angust Nazran scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Angust Nazran went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Angust Nazran VS FK Pobeda
0.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Angust Nazran

(Home)
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
Angust Nazran
0 : 1
Astrakhan
19 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
3 : 0
Angust Nazran
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Maykop
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
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FK Pobeda

(Away)
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
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