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Angust Nazran vs Nart Cherkessk

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angust Nazran play Nart Cherkessk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Angust Nazran averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.26 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Angust Nazran won 2, Nart Cherkessk won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Angust Nazran and 1.31 for Nart Cherkessk. This points to a Nart Cherkessk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Angust Nazran
22%
Draws
48%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Angust Nazran picked up more points recently compared to Nart Cherkessk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Angust Nazran Clean Sheet 18%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 43%
Second Half Goal 46%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angust Nazran Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.84 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs Nart Cherkessk
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Angust Nazran
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs Nart Cherkessk
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Angust Nazran
0:3
Jun 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs Nart Cherkessk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Angust Nazran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Panaev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tkhakokhov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angust Nazran 31 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angust Nazran Nart Cherkessk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nart Cherkessk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Angust Nazran attacking → ← attacking Nart Cherkessk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angust Nazran scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Nart Cherkessk let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Angust Nazran went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nart Cherkessk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 54
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88