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Ankaragucu vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Eryaman Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Koroglu K.
10' Event
Polat A.
25' Event
Altintas E.

AI Match Summary

Karabuk Idmanyurdu in this Turkish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ankaragucu
20%
Draws
47%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ankaragucu lately — more wins on the board than Karabuk Idmanyurdu.
  • Ankaragucu are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Ankaragucu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Karabuk Idmanyurdu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ankaragucu Clean Sheet 20%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ankaragucu Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Ankaragucu vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ankaragucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Polat A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aktas O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Koroglu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altintas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ankaragucu 67 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ankaragucu Karabuk Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ankaragucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ankaragucu scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ankaragucu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Karabuk Idmanyurdu conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ankaragucu VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ankaragucu

(Home)
04 Oct
Ankaragucu
4 : 1
Inegolspor
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
19 Sept
Ankaragucu
1 : 1
Serik Spor
13 Sept
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 0
Ankaragucu
06 Sept
Ankaragucu
0 : 1
Ankara Demirspor
Page 1 of 6

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Away)
07 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 0
Beykoz Anadolu
03 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 2
Amasyaspor
27 Sept
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
13 Sept
Zonguldak Komurspor
1 : 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
TBD -
Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elazigspor -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Buyukcekmece Gucu 3
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
TBD -
Adana 01 -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
TBD -
Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
TBD -
Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
TBD -
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TBD -
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
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Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
Batman Petrolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
TBD -
Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
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TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
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Kutahyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2