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Annagh vs Glenavon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Annagh host Glenavon in the NIFL Championship. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Annagh at 1.67 goals for, 1.53 against; Glenavon at 1.53 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Glenavon slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2023, ending 1:4. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.63) point toward Annagh. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Annagh
30%
Draws
33%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Annagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Annagh lately — more wins on the board than Glenavon.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Annagh taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Glenavon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Annagh Clean Sheet 14%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annagh Glenavon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Annagh vs Glenavon
1:4
Aug 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Glenavon vs Annagh
2:1
Sep 15, 2015 Irish League Cup
Glenavon vs Annagh
3:4
Jan 15, 2011 Irish Cup
Annagh vs Glenavon
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annagh 39 / 100
Glenavon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annagh Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Annagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Glenavon conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Annagh has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Annagh's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Annagh VS Glenavon
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Annagh

(Home)
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1
Annagh
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
Page 1 of 6

Glenavon

(Away)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)