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Annan vs Ayr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Galabank, Annan
Annan Logo

Annan

0 - 2
FT
Ayr Logo

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Shanks K.
Assist: Murphy J.
45' Event
Douglas J.
Assist: Stirton O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Annan
20%
Draws
57%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Annan haven't matched Ayr's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ayr's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Ayr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ayr, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ayr have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Annan Clean Sheet 15%
Ayr Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annan Ayr
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Challenge Cup
Annan vs Ayr
0:2
Jul 15, 2025 League Cup
Annan vs Ayr
1:6
Jul 19, 2022 League Cup
Annan vs Ayr
2:1
Oct 13, 2020 League Cup
Ayr vs Annan
1:0
Jul 29, 2017 League Cup
Annan vs Ayr
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanks K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annan 19 / 100
Ayr 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annan Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Annan scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ayr conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Annan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Annan VS Ayr
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Annan

(Home)
03 Nov
Annan
0 : 2
Ayr
31 Oct
Spartans
3 : 2
Annan
24 Oct
Huntly
2 : 3
Annan
17 Oct
Clyde
4 : 1
Annan
13 Oct
Annan
0 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
03 Nov
Annan
0 : 2
Ayr
31 Oct
Ayr
3 : 2
Queen's Park
16 Oct
Ayr
0 : 1
Partick
10 Oct
Ayr
1 : 1
Dunfermline
03 Oct
Livingston
1 : 2
Ayr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -