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Annan vs Berwick

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Galabank, Annan
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Berwick have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Annan have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Annan have won 5 to Berwick's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2019, ending 6:0. The numbers (1.68 xG vs 2.09) point toward Berwick. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Annan
15%
Draws
49%
Berwick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Annan haven't matched Berwick's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Annan's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Berwick arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Annan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Annan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Annan Clean Sheet 10%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annan Berwick
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.55 2
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 League Two
Annan vs Berwick
6:0
Feb 26, 2019 League Two
Berwick vs Annan
1:2
Dec 22, 2018 League Two
Annan vs Berwick
4:0
Aug 25, 2018 League Two
Berwick vs Annan
0:3
Jul 17, 2018 League Cup
Annan vs Berwick
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annan 40 / 100
Berwick 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annan Berwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berwick's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Annan found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Berwick has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Annan VS Berwick
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Annan

(Home)
15 Aug
Annan
1 : 2
Clyde
11 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 0
Annan
08 Aug
Stranraer
0 : 1
Annan
01 Aug
Annan
2 : 4
Spartans
25 Jul
Ashton Town
3 : 2
Annan
Page 1 of 7

Berwick

(Away)
15 Aug
Berwick
3 : 2
Stirling University
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
08 Aug
Brechin
4 : 3
Berwick
01 Aug
Berwick
0 : 2
Hill Of Beath
25 Jul
Lochee United
1 : 1
Berwick
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clachnacuddin 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Peterhead 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Rangers B 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Queen of the South 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Clydebank FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
6 St. Mirren B 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
8 Aberdeen B 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
9 East Kilbride 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
10 Stirling 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Airdrieonians 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
12 Celtic B 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
13 Edinburgh City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
14 Montrose 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
15 Hearts B 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
16 Kelty Hearts 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
17 Ross County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
18 Alloa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Spartans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
21 East Fife 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
22 Motherwell B 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
23 Berwick 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
24 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Elgin City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Annan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Kilmarnock B 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
28 Cove Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
29 Cowdenbeath 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Hamilton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Fraserburgh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33 Dundee FC B 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Clyde 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
35 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 Banks O' Dee 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
38 Cumbernauld Colts 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
39 Hibernian B 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
40 Dundee Utd B 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)