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Annan vs Dumbarton

Scotland Scotland

League Two Galabank, Annan
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Annan host Dumbarton in the League Two. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Annan at 1.31 goals for, 1.93 against; Dumbarton at 1.07 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Dumbarton slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.06, favoring Annan. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Annan
15%
Draws
57%
Dumbarton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Annan lately — more wins on the board than Dumbarton.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dumbarton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Annan Clean Sheet 10%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annan Dumbarton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Annan
2:1
Feb 10, 2026 League Two
Annan vs Dumbarton
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Dumbarton vs Annan
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Annan vs Dumbarton
3:4
Apr 26, 2025 League One
Dumbarton vs Annan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annan 30 / 100
Dumbarton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annan Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Annan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Dumbarton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Annan VS Dumbarton
1.38 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Annan

(Home)
11 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 0
Annan
08 Aug
Stranraer
0 : 1
Annan
01 Aug
Annan
2 : 4
Spartans
25 Jul
Ashton Town
3 : 2
Annan
21 Jul
Clyde
4 : 1
Annan
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Dumbarton

(Away)
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3
Airdrieonians
08 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 0
Clyde
01 Aug
Stirling
2 : 0
Dumbarton
25 Jul
Dumbarton
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
18 Jul
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Dumbarton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
2 Spartans 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
3 Forfar Athletic 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Stirling 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Clyde 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Kelty Hearts 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Annan 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
8 Dumbarton 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Stranraer 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Edinburgh City 2 0 1 1 2:7 -4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)