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Annan vs Dumbarton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Galabank, Annan
Annan Logo

Annan

2 - 0
FT
Dumbarton Logo

Dumbarton

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Craig D.
56'
Spalding A.
58' Event
Gibson W.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Annan in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Annan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Annan
15%
Draws
54%
Dumbarton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dumbarton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dumbarton at 1.32 per game, Annan at 1.31.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Dumbarton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Annan Clean Sheet 17%
Dumbarton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Annan Dumbarton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Annan vs Dumbarton
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Dumbarton vs Annan
2:1
Feb 10, 2026 League Two
Annan vs Dumbarton
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Dumbarton vs Annan
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Annan vs Dumbarton
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Annan Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dumbarton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Annan 20 / 100
Dumbarton 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Annan Dumbarton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dumbarton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumbarton let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Annan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Annan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Annan VS Dumbarton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Annan

(Home)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Annan
2 : 1
Hibernian B
22 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
Annan
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

Dumbarton

(Away)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
26 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Banks O' Dee
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)