Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ansbach vs Buchbach

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Heiland T.
51' Event
Stossberger T.
62' Event
Heiland T.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Ansbach and Buchbach finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buchbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ansbach
15%
Draws
58%
Buchbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Buchbach come out ahead of Ansbach on wins alone.
  • Buchbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ansbach Clean Sheet 10%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ansbach Buchbach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Ansbach vs Buchbach
1:3
Apr 6, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Ansbach
3:1
Sep 23, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Ansbach vs Buchbach
3:1
Mar 21, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Ansbach
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Ansbach vs Buchbach
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ansbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuhanovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Buchbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Heiland T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stossberger T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ansbach 10 / 100
Buchbach 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ansbach Buchbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ansbach found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Buchbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Ansbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ansbach VS Buchbach
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ansbach

(Home)
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Vilzing
1 : 1
Ansbach
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 0
Ansbach
28 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 2
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Page 1 of 6

Buchbach

(Away)
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 9 7 2 0 22:7 23
2 Memmingen 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
4 Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
5 Vfb Eichstatt 10 5 2 3 13:14 17
6 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 14:12 15
7 Munich 1860 8 3 5 0 17:10 14
8 Burghausen 10 4 2 4 24:18 14
9 Eltersdorf 9 3 3 3 13:12 12
10 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 15:23 12
11 Bayern II 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
12 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
13 Nurnberg II 8 3 1 4 17:13 10
14 Bayreuth 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
16 TSV Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
17 Furth II 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)