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Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Keita H.
38'
Sub
Keita H. In: Nonge J.
Out: Keita H.
41'
Oguz A.

AI Match Summary

Antalyaspor in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antalyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Antalyaspor
30%
Draws
34%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Antalyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kocaelispor have won more games recently than Antalyaspor.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Antalyaspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Antalyaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antalyaspor Kocaelispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super Lig
Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Antalyaspor
2:1
Jan 7, 2025 Turkish Cup
Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor
3:1
Jul 15, 2021 Club Friendly
Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor
0:1
Apr 26, 2009 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Antalyaspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antalyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballet S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kocaelispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antalyaspor 36 / 100
Kocaelispor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antalyaspor Kocaelispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kocaelispor conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Antalyaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Kocaelispor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Antalyaspor VS Kocaelispor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Antalyaspor

(Home)
13 Jul
Antalyaspor
2 : 1
Tikves
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 May
Galatasaray
4 : 2
Antalyaspor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0
Alanyaspor
25 Apr
Goztepe
2 : 0
Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 6

Kocaelispor

(Away)
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1
Kocaelispor
26 Apr
Genclerbirligi
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)