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Antequera vs CD Nerja

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between Antequera and CD Nerja finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antequera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Antequera
15%
Draws
26%
CD Nerja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antequera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antequera come out ahead of CD Nerja on wins alone.
  • Model gives Antequera a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Antequera Clean Sheet 20%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antequera CD Nerja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Antequera vs CD Nerja
4:0
Dec 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs Antequera
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antequera 85 / 100
CD Nerja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antequera CD Nerja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antequera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antequera found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Nerja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Antequera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antequera VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antequera

(Home)
08 Aug
Antequera
0 : 3
Granada CF
23 May
Antequera
3 : 1
Torremolinos
16 May
Sabadell
0 : 1
Antequera
10 May
Antequera
1 : 0
Teruel
02 May
Betis B
1 : 0
Antequera
Page 1 of 6

CD Nerja

(Away)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)