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Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 ABFA Technical Centre, Piggotts
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Lambe R.
39'
Clemons W.
56' Event
Crichlow K.
Assist: Hall K.

AI Match Summary

Bermuda in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bermuda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Antigua and Barbuda
20%
Draws
16%
Bermuda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua and Barbuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bermuda have won more games recently than Antigua and Barbuda.
  • Win probability leans Antigua and Barbuda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 19%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua and Barbuda Bermuda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.93 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
2:1
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
1:1
Mar 21, 2018 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
3:2
Aug 27, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua and Barbuda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Crichlow K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua and Barbuda 67 / 100
Bermuda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua and Barbuda Bermuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua and Barbuda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bermuda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Antigua and Barbuda's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua and Barbuda VS Bermuda
0.86 Goals Scored 1.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 3
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 100%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua and Barbuda

(Home)
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda
18 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
1 : 4
Guyana
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
11 Jun
Honduras
2 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda
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Bermuda

(Away)
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
25 Mar
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Bermuda
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2
Bermuda
14 Nov
Bermuda
0 : 7
Curacao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)