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Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League ABFA Technical Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Lambe R.
39'
Clemons W.
56' Event
Crichlow K.
Assist: Hall K.

AI Match Summary

Antigua and Barbuda host Bermuda in the CONCACAF Nations League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bermuda have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while Antigua and Barbuda have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.33. Head-to-head, Antigua and Barbuda have won 2 to Bermuda's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.75) point toward Bermuda. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Antigua and Barbuda
6%
Draws
4%
Bermuda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Antigua and Barbuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bermuda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Antigua and Barbuda.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Antigua and Barbuda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Nations League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Antigua and Barbuda Clean Sheet 12%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua and Barbuda Bermuda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.33 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
2:1
Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 World Championship
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
1:1
Mar 21, 2018 Friendly International
Antigua and Barbuda vs Bermuda
3:2
Aug 27, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua and Barbuda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Bermuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Crichlow K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua and Barbuda 83 / 100
Bermuda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua and Barbuda Bermuda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua and Barbuda scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Bermuda let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Antigua and Barbuda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bermuda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua and Barbuda VS Bermuda
0.33 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151