Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antigua vs Aurora F.C.

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Maziero A.
35'
Sub
Ardon J. In: Carbonell J.
Out: Ardon J.
37'
Flores C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Antigua and Aurora F.C. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Antigua
15%
Draws
21%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Antigua have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Antigua Clean Sheet 17%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez K. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fajardo W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterroso C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 30 / 100
Aurora F.C. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Aurora F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Aurora F.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Antigua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Aurora F.C.
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
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Aurora F.C.

(Away)
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 10 7 0 3 20:15 21
4 Deportivo San Pedro 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
5 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
6 Marquense 11 5 1 5 11:14 16
7 Xelaju 11 4 3 4 22:14 15
8 Aurora F.C. 11 4 0 7 16:19 12
9 Malacateco 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
10 Comunicaciones 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
11 Coban Imperial 11 2 4 5 13:18 10
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)