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Antigua vs Coban Imperial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
01:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antigua host Coban Imperial in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Antigua at 1.76 goals for, 1.48 against; Coban Imperial at 1.13 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Antigua have won 1 to Coban Imperial's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.38, favoring Antigua. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Antigua
30%
Draws
42%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Coban Imperial taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Antigua Clean Sheet 17%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Coban Imperial
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Antigua
0:2
Mar 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Coban Imperial
2:2
Jan 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Antigua
5:1
Nov 6, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Coban Imperial
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Antigua
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 12 / 100
Coban Imperial 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Coban Imperial conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Antigua stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Coban Imperial
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Coban Imperial

(Away)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)